Saturday , March 6 2021

Pneumonia to kill nearly 11 million children by the year 2030 – the world

Pneumonia, of course, will kill nearly 11 million children by 2030, reveals a new analysis by John Hopkins University and Save the Children.

In-depth simulations that were released on World Pneumonia Day also suggest that over four million of these deaths (more than a third) could be easily remedied by coordinating measures to improve vaccination, treatment and dietary intake.

In addition to the action-support organization's forecasts, Nigeria, India, Pakistan and the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) are likely to cover the poorest deaths.

Pneumonia most commonly affects the elderly, but the disease is the largest infectious disease in the world, more than malaria, diarrhea and measles.

880 000 children, mostly younger than two years of age, died in 2016, the last year for which complete data is available.

SCI Executive Director Helle Torning-Schmidt said:

"It misses the fact that almost a million children die every year from the disease, and we have the knowledge and resources to win. There is a vaccine available, and the cost of the antibiotic is only € 0.30.

"There is no pink tape, no global summit or pneumonia, but for anyone who cares for the justice of children and their access to essential health care, this neglected killer must be the guiding principle of our age."

The agency's projections are based on a model developed by Johns Hopkins University researchers, called Lives Saved Tool (LiST).

They show that nearly 11 million (10 865728) children will die in current trends by 2030, with the largest death toll in Nigeria (1,730,000), India (1,710,000), Pakistan (706,000), and the Democratic Republic of Congo (635,000).

However, increasing the vaccination rate to 90 percent of children under the age of five could save 610,000 lives; providing cheap antibiotics could save 1.9 million; and providing children with good nutrition could save 2.5 million.

If all three overlapping interventions were carried out by 2030, the model suggests that a total of 4.1 million deaths could be eliminated.

2030 is the target date for Sustainable Development (LNG) targets, which includes an ambitious global commitment to "preventable child deaths" and to achieve universal coverage.

In order to prevent child deaths from diseases such as pneumonia, Save the Children wants to see:

  • The prices of major pneumonic vaccines have been significantly reduced to allow more than 76 million children to be immunized

  • Countries with low and middle income countries choose to create strong health and nutrition systems that are most marginalized

  • Donor governments support countries to achieve universal health care.

Dr. Ellie Cannon, a family doctor from the UK's National Health Service (NHS), attended the Save Children's Health Program in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC), where 50,000 children died of pneumonia in 2016.

Dr Cannon said:

"It was shocking to see that dying children that we can easily treat in the United Kingdom. Children come hungry, their immune systems are mitigated by malnutrition, and even when they receive medical care, doctors simply do not have basic supplies. such as oxygen and antibiotics to treat them.These are doctors with the same training as I. I could write a simple recipe or arrange a quick X Ray. My medical colleagues in the DRC are forced to watch the children die. "

For more information or interviews with representatives, please contact:

Antonia [email protected] / +44 (0) 7855 957573

For hours – [email protected]/ +44 (0) 7831 650409

Pneumonia content and case studies are available here.

Dr Ellie Cannon's visit to the Democratic Republic of the Congo is available here.


  • The John Hopkins University Lifestyle Preservation Tool (LiST) is designed to measure the lives of the survivors of maternal and child health interventions. Instead of providing a simple linear projection, it calculates the child's pneumonia profile in 2030, taking into account population risk factors such as malnutrition, vaccination rates and health searches. To carry out this analysis, five forecasts (1) of the usual business forecasts were made, in which risk factors continue to rise to historic trends until 2030; (2) Hib and PCV vaccination rates to follow the Gavi country-specific trends or 90% by 2030 (whichever is the highest); (3) Achieve the goals of the World Health Assembly to reduce stiffness and waste and increase breastfeeding; (4) increase oral antibiotics against pneumonia by 90% by 2030 and injectable antibiotics in the case of neonatal infections up to 90% by 2030; (5) combination of (2), (3) and (4).

  • From 28 952 deaths in 2012 with pneumonia in the United Kingdom, 27520 were 65 years of age and older and 58 years of age were between 0 and 14 years old, [according]( British Lung Foundation).

  • Data from the World Health Organization's Global Health Observatory (GHO) indicate that 880,000 babies were abducted in 2016, or about 16 percent of the world's fewer than five deaths.

  • According to the GHO, in 2016 DRC died of pneumonia 49.115 children.

  • To learn more about the charity pneumonia campaign, see Keep up the baby's fight for breath.

  • To support the "Save the Child Campaign" to end childhood deaths from diseases such as pneumonia, please sign our petition.

  • Save the Children is the partner of each breath-taking coalition, a public-private partnership that was launched last year on the World Pneumonia Day and aims to promote change in the countries with the highest levels of pneumonia.

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