A number of federal NAP leaders in June warned NAP leader Jagmeet Singh that he would not be able to subordinate to party leader if he lost to next month's Burnaby South, CBC News learned.
Two young Democratic MEPs who talked to CBC News about anonymity were one of the small group members who met Singh last summer to tell him that, as a result of the 25 February elections, the loss would put enormous pressure on him to resign. They are one of nine NAP members who report to CBC News that they think Singh will have no choice but to resign if he doesn't win next month.
"We told him that this was happening in June, when it was discussed … that if you do, it is all. It's not like you are hoping to win the case. So one MP told CBC News."
"It was understandable. Perhaps a revisionist history would happen if he didn't win it."
Former emerging NAP strategist agrees.
"It goes without saying. If you lose the selection, if you can't win in the Burnaby People's Republic, where can you win?" said Karl Bélanger, former NAP national director and former head of Tom Mulcair.
"I think Mr Singh knows this and I think he is trying to show everyone that he will win this place and then lead the party in the next election."
The June meeting took place in the Committee's room in the basement of a hill in the Parliament. Block a week when Commons stayed on a summer break.
Sources told CBC News that the NAP leader at the meeting agreed that driving in the booklet would be "all-in". Singh, according to sources, said he was convinced of the victory that he believed he would be in his element of campaigning in society.
"So if he fails best in what part of the country we have to do well – British Columbia in general and Vancouver in particular – I don't know what their arguments are for Singh to be a leader," a senior NAP MP said.
Speaking to CBC News on Friday, Singh questioned what he could do if he lost his selection price by asking him to be in good shape to win.
"I'm not focused on myself, and I know if we work hard, we'll win here," he said. "We will win Burnaby South because people need it."
If Singh privately agrees that he cannot stay if he is unable to provide a Commons seat next month, it would be contrary to his public position on the matter. Interview with Rosemary Barton, who presents CBC National On January 20, Singh insisted that he remain a leader, even if he loses the 25 February vote.
"I'll be the leader who will lead the New Democratic Party in the 2019 elections," said Singh. "I'm sure we'll do well on this trip. We connect with people, we get great support."
In total, CBC and Radio-Canada contacted more than half of the members of 40 NAP members. Not all CBC News communicate with the answers, but most of those who talked to the CBC say they are sure that Singh will win.
What happens if he loses?
Five refused to comment on what is called a "hypothetical" scenario. Two Soviet members expressed their full support for Singh. Some said they thought the decision to stay or go to him.
Caucus members are not the only ones who say that Singham should go if he falls to Burnaby To the south. Some veterans of the New Democratic Campaigns do not agree – although at least one has pointed out that Singh's departure could be the result of a dirty process.
"First, the party's senior group advises him that it's time. If he resisted, then voting – non-binding, but humiliating," said the party's strategist, who asked him not to start. "Then the vote of the NAP Federal Council.
"Choosing your time to go, he benefits from a graceful exit. Being pressed will end unfortunately. Given the distorted liberal (selection) campaign, I doubt it will happen."
Liberals recently used former B.C. The legislator to drive driving after their first candidate, Karen Wang, resigned from the controversial campaign, urging the Chinese to vote for him as the "only" Chinese candidate.
CBC News has learned that NAP is working on various contingency plans that could come into force if Singh fails in Burnaby South.
Plans B, C and beyond
For example, if Singh loses and immediately ceases to be a leader, one chance would be to win the race immediately – just like the one who quickly gathered in Ontario after Patrick Brown was forced to give up his progressive conservative leader over allegations of sexual abuse.
But the federal NAP is now in a very different place from last year's Ontario computers when they stood up for the leader's vote that ended with choosing Doug Ford as Brown's replacement.
At that time, there were provincial computers in the polls; According to CBC Poll Tracker, federal NAP support is only 14.2 percent national. The Ontario Conservatives had accumulated a tremendous career until Brown left and could easily pay for the convention. Meanwhile, the federal NAP continues to fight for fundraising.
Another possibility was that the guideline would be chosen by a temporary leader. Two names have been proposed in the NDP circles as potential interim managers: B.C. MP Nathan Cullen and Quebec MP Guy Caron.
Any temporary manager selected by an advisor should be approved by the federal council before the party's general election, followed by leadership competitions – the only way a permanent leader can be chosen according to party rules.
Some members have realized what they consider to be a difficult exit for Singham: offering him the position of deputy chief and lieutenant of Ontario and allowing him to work in Brampton East, an area he represented in the province. Later, Singh was once again able to lead the party's leadership, politically securing Commons.
Belanger said that if Singh lost to Burnaby South and then try to hold on as a party leader, the only way to remove him would be a driver review.
But executive reviews are held in party conventions – and the NAP does not provide for a convention only after federal elections. A special convention should be called for a management review. It could only be called by the NAP Federal Council or at the request of the majority of federal driving associations.
One NAP strategist who also asked him not to be named is skeptical about the specific version of the convention: "Some of my people have no faith in these people to fight the knife.
"For these people, the challenge is to face the fact that this leader has gained a huge vote from participating in the first ballot (driving race) and then in 2018, reinforced this vote with tremendous support from all the participants. won 92.8% (support). "
Strengthening at worst
Former NAP MP and 2012 Lead Candidate Peggy Nash said those working on the Emergency Plan will come into force if Singh loses Burnaby South just makes it obvious.
"I like to play chess, and I always think some are moving forward and I always have a back-up plan. I think it's just good sound management to make contingency plans that happen," said Nash.
B.C. NAP MP Don Davies said he is confident that Singh will take his place next month and that his presence in the House of Representatives will strengthen his leadership. "I hope that it has many advantages, including attracting our funds and our general election numbers," he said. "I think everything will be better if Jagmeet will be in the house.
"There has been a lot of attention to what happens if he doesn't win. I think the only honest result when he wins is that it should stay for the rest that is happening."